Does ROC momentum turn actually work on RIOT? We tested it
We ran ROC momentum turn on RIOT through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 99 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a huge amount of money overall, turning a 6,469% total return, but the ride was extremely lumpy and painful. The worst stretch was a brutal 64.51% drawdown that lasted nearly two years, from early 2021 to early 2023, which is where the strategy hurt the most. With only 67 trades and a 32.84% win rate, the result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, but the average win was big enough to overcome the many losses. The entry-timing edge is very strong, beating 99% of random entries, so the entry signal itself is carrying the result, not the exits. The consistency figure shows the edge appeared steadily across 3 out of 4 walk-forward periods, meaning the profit was not from one lucky stretch but repeated over time.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.