Guides

Trading questions, answered with data.

Plain-English answers to the questions traders actually ask, each backed by walk-forward backtests across 28 tickers. No opinions, just what held an edge and what did not.

Series · 9 chapters How to find your edge Most trading education skips the only question that matters: how do you know? This series walks the whole path, from what an edge actually is to proving one on your own data. Every chapter ends with something you can do in the app, so you finish with a tested strategy rather than a reading list. Do moving average crossovers actually work? We walk-forward tested 9 moving average crossover strategies across 28 tickers. Eight held an edge; the famous 50/200 Golden Cross held none. Here is the full data and why frequency decides it. Does buying the dip actually work? We walk-forward tested 17 dip-buying strategies across 28 tickers. 15 held a real edge with high win rates, but the two most famous oversold triggers, RSI(14) and MFI, busted. Here is why. Does RSI actually work for trading? We walk-forward tested 6 RSI strategies across 28 tickers. The short-period RSI(2) setups held a real edge, but the classic RSI(14) oversold signal and RSI divergence both busted. The setting decides everything. What are the best swing trading setups? We walk-forward tested 49 classic swing setups across 28 tickers and ranked the survivors by breadth: how many tickers the edge actually held on. Only 4 cleared 10 or more. Here is the honest list. Do breakout strategies actually work? We walk-forward tested 9 breakout strategies across 28 tickers. They held the narrowest edges of any setup family, almost only on volatile movers, and the famous 52-week-high breakout busted outright. Do momentum indicators actually work? We walk-forward tested 9 momentum and trend-confirmation indicators across 28 tickers. Eight held a real but narrow edge; Wilder's DMI cross busted. None came close to being a broad, everywhere signal.