Does CMF zero cross actually work on MARA? We tested it
We ran CMF zero cross on MARA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 93 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Oct 2017 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a very large total return of nearly 990% over 36 trades, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst moment was a brutal 63% drawdown that lasted over a year from May 2019 to September 2020, which would have been painful to sit through. The win rate is only 42%, meaning most trades lost money, but the average winning trade was much larger than the average loser, which is how the overall profit was achieved. The entry timing has a strong edge, beating 93% of random entry runs, so the success is not just from lucky exits but from getting in at the right moments. The edge was consistent, showing up in 3 out of 4 walk-forward periods, so the result is not driven by a single lucky streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.