Does 50-day moving average cross actually work on AMD? We tested it
We ran 50-day moving average cross on AMD through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 77 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 4. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made a lot of money overall, turning a 1691% total return, but the ride was extremely lumpy. The worst stretch was a brutal 46% drawdown that lasted from late 2021 through early 2023, which is where it hurt the most. With only a 27% win rate, the result is clearly driven by a few big winning trades that more than made up for many small losers. The entry timing has a solid edge, beating 77% of random entries, meaning the specific cross signals are adding real value. The consistency figure shows the edge held up in 3 out of 4 test periods, so it was not just one lucky streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Do moving average crossovers actually work?
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