Library
Mean reversion · UBER · 1D

Does Williams %R bounce actually work on UBER? We tested it

We ran Williams %R bounce on UBER through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 98 of 100 random-entry runs.

WALK-FORWARD VERIFIED EDGESTACKER ENGINE
Return +134.0%
Win rate 86.4%
Max drawdown −19.2%
Trades 22
Sharpe 1.04
Equity curve

Equity curve over May 2019 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.

PeriodWindowReturnSharpeTrades
1 Oct 2020 to Mar 2022 +24.3% 1.23 4
2 Mar 2022 to Aug 2023 +17.0% 0.97 5
3 Aug 2023 to Feb 2025 +19.1% 0.86 7
4 Feb 2025 to Jul 2026 +21.4% 1.56 4
4 of 4 periods positive. Mean Sharpe 1.15. Worst period +17.0%.
Market matrix
Edge held on 12 of 28

The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.

UBER SHIPPED
98/100 EDGE
META
100/100 EDGE
NFLX
98/100 EDGE
XOM
96/100 EDGE
DIA
93/100 EDGE
JPM
93/100 EDGE
NVDA
92/100 EDGE
SPY
91/100 EDGE
GLD
82/100 EDGE
QQQ
81/100 EDGE
AVGO
80/100 EDGE
MU
79/100 EDGE
Show every ticker we tested
RIOT
81/100 NONE
AMD
67/100 NONE
BA
65/100 NONE
IWM
62/100 NONE
GOOGL
58/100 NONE
MSTR
58/100 NONE
MSFT
56/100 NONE
COIN
55/100 NONE
AMZN
52/100 NONE
AAPL
47/100 NONE
SOFI
37/100 NONE
TSLA
12/100 NONE
MARA
10/100 NONE
SMCI
7/100 NONE
HOOD
too new TOO NEW
PLTR
too new TOO NEW
The rules
Entrywhen WILLR of close over 14 bars crosses above -90 AND close is above SMA of close over 200 bars
Exitwhen a signal fires (WILLR of close over 14 bars is above -30)
Sizing**Position size:** no fixed stop distance to size against. This strategy exits on signal only. Size by conviction, or add a hard stop for a size-by-risk number.
Diagnosis

This strategy made a solid 134% profit over 22 trades, and the ride was fairly steady with a high win rate of 86%. The worst moment was a 19.25% drawdown that stretched from March to August 2024, which is where the strategy hurt the most. The entry timing is a huge factor here, since your real entries outperformed 98% of random entry runs, meaning the signal to buy at the Williams %R bounce is carrying the result rather than the exit. The edge was also consistent, showing up as profitable in all four walk-forward test periods, so it wasn't just one lucky stretch. Overall, this is a reliable setup that makes money steadily, but you have to be ready to sit through a multi-month dip of nearly 20%.

Run this on your own account.

Sign up free. EdgeStacker runs a fresh backtest for you, then alerts you on the Today screen when the setup fires.

Test it yourself, free