Does Williams %R bounce actually work on NFLX? We tested it
We ran Williams %R bounce on NFLX through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 98 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money, turning a 164.40% total return over 36 trades. The ride was moderately lumpy, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.77, meaning you had some ups and downs. The worst hit was a -21.85% drawdown that happened in late October 2018, which is where the strategy hurt most. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the win rate is a solid 72.22% and the average trade returned 2.85%. The entry timing is a key strength here, since real entries beat 98% of random entry runs, so getting in at the right moment is carrying the result. The edge is also consistent, as the strategy was profitable in all four walk-forward test periods, not just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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