Does Williams %R bounce actually work on QQQ? We tested it
We ran Williams %R bounce on QQQ through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 81 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, returning 54.2%, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst moment was a brutal 22.4% drawdown that happened in just 12 days during March 2020, which tells you the system can get crushed in a fast crash. The high win rate of 82% might look great, but the average trade only made 1.14%, so the profits came from many small wins rather than a few big home runs. The entry timing has a real edge, beating 81% of random entries, so the setup itself is doing the heavy lifting rather than the exits. The edge was also consistent, showing up in 3 out of 4 test periods, meaning the result wasn't just a lucky streak from one good stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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