Does Williams %R bounce actually work on NVDA? We tested it
We ran Williams %R bounce on NVDA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 92 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 153.70% total return on NVDA using a Williams %R bounce setup. The ride was fairly lumpy, with a sharp -30.97% drawdown that hit hard during the March 2020 COVID crash, which was the worst stretch. The high win rate of 73.68% and average trade gain of 2.59% suggest the edge came from many small winners rather than a few big home runs. The entry timing was strong, beating 92% of random entry runs, meaning the specific moment you got in was a key driver of the results. The edge was also consistent, showing up in 3 out of 4 walk-forward periods, so it wasn't just one lucky streak carrying the whole performance.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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