Does Williams %R bounce actually work on AVGO? We tested it
We ran Williams %R bounce on AVGO through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 80 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 12. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money, turning a 174% total return on AVGO over 38 trades. The ride was lumpy, not smooth, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.79 and a painful worst drawdown of -31.30% that lasted from December 2024 to April 2025. That drawdown is where it hurt most, and it shows the strategy can suffer deep, prolonged losses even though it wins 81.58% of the time. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry timing has a real edge, beating 80% of random entry runs, meaning the entry signal itself is carrying the performance. The edge is also consistent, showing up profitably in all 4 walk-forward test periods, so it is not a fluke from one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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