Does Stochastic %K/%D cross actually work on NVDA? We tested it
We ran Stochastic %K/%D cross on NVDA through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 82 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 306% total return on NVDA over 32 trades. The ride was fairly steady with a high 87.5% win rate, but it had one brutal stretch where it lost nearly 31% during the March 2020 COVID crash, which was the worst drawdown. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the entry timing itself shows a strong edge, beating 82% of random entry runs, meaning the entries are doing the heavy lifting. The edge also proved consistent, showing up profitably in all four walk-forward test periods, so it wasn't a fluke from one lucky time frame.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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