Does RSI(2) dip buy actually work on XOM? We tested it
We ran RSI(2) dip buy on XOM through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 86 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 47% total return across 51 trades. The ride was fairly lumpy, with a maximum drawdown of -13% that stretched for nearly a year from late 2022 into October 2023, which is where the strategy hurt most. The high win rate of 70% suggests the result wasn't driven by just a few lucky trades, but rather a steady pattern of small wins. The entry timing shows a real edge, as your actual entries beat 86% of random entry runs, meaning the specific moment you bought mattered a lot. The consistency figure shows the edge appeared in 3 out of 4 test periods, so the profit came from multiple stretches rather than a single hot streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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