Does Pin bar at a 20-day low actually work on AMD? We tested it
We ran Pin bar at a 20-day low on AMD through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 4 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 80 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
The strategy made money overall, turning a 77.75% total return across 27 trades, but the ride was very lumpy. The worst stretch was a painful 18% drawdown that lasted nearly a year, from early 2021 into early 2022, which is where it hurt most. The win rate is solid at nearly 63%, and the average trade gained 2.30%, so the result is not driven by just a few huge winners. The entry timing shows a real edge, beating 80% of random entries, meaning the entry itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. The edge was consistent across all four walk-forward periods, so it did not come from just one lucky stretch.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
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