Does CCI oversold bounce actually work on META? We tested it
We ran CCI oversold bounce on META through walk-forward testing and a 100-run random-entry gauntlet. 3 of 4 unseen periods positive. Beat 92 of 100 random-entry runs.
You gave up raw return for a higher win rate and a shallower drawdown. This setup is about timing and staying out of trouble, not beating the index.
Equity curve over Aug 2016 to Jul 2026. Hover any point for its value. Turn on buy and hold to compare.
The same rules, tested on 28 tickers. Edge held on 7. We ship it on those.
Show every ticker we tested
This strategy made money overall, turning a 125.78% total return on META with a high win rate of nearly 88%, meaning most trades were winners. However, the ride was very lumpy, with a worst drawdown of -32.96% that occurred during the COVID crash in early 2020, which would have been a painful period to hold through. The result is not driven by just a few lucky trades, as the average trade returned a solid 2.63% across 33 trades. The entry-timing edge is strong, with real entries beating 92% of random entry runs, so the entry signal itself is carrying the result rather than the exits. Consistency was decent, with the edge showing up in 3 out of 4 walk-forward periods, meaning the strategy worked steadily across different market stretches rather than relying on one lucky streak.
Every verdict on this page comes from the same process. How we test.
Bigger picture: Does buying the dip actually work?
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