Is AMD a buy today?

Edge Check grades a AMD entry out of 100 against every setup in our tested library, the market backdrop, and where price sits on the chart. It shows the receipts and a trade plan, and it never looks at data the trader would not have had on the day.

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Every session of the last two years on AMD's price, so you can see whether strong days actually led anywhere. Click any day to open its grade.

Full calendar · AMD

Every session graded exactly as Edge Check would have on that day, with no hindsight. The ribbon under the price shows each day's grade; dim days had no measured setup firing. Toggle a grade to hide it, pick a shorter window, or click any day to open its full grade.

Strong 75+ Decent 60–74 Weak 40–59 Stand aside below 40
15
out of 100?
Stand aside
Buying AMD at the close of 30 Jul 2026.
No regime data Above 200-day -17.0% off 52w high 1.19x volume
What moved the grade?

Graded by the model that learned from how thousands of similar setups actually played out. Each line is points added or subtracted versus a neutral day.

Setup evidence
-14
points subtracted
Best match: Turtle Soup reversal. It did not clear the random-entry gauntlet, 0 of 4 unseen periods positive, measured on 20+ trades. This pairing did not clear the library bar on this ticker.
Market context
-14
points subtracted
Breadth and tape conditions: no breadth data for this date, scored neutral; the market's own 60-session move is +3.3%.
Chart location
-3
points subtracted
Price is in a healthy location. Relative strength vs the market over 60 sessions: +38.8%.

Trade plan levels

If you took this entry, these are the prices the plan is built on: where you get in, where the idea is wrong and you are out, and where you take profit. Stop and targets are derived from this ticker's own volatility, not round numbers. They are a starting frame for your own risk, not a recommendation.

Entry
485.39
Close of 30 Jul 2026
Stop loss?
404.66
2x ATR(14) below entry (16.6% risk)
Target 2?
505.49
Typical past winner, +4.1%
Target profit?

A wider target pays more per win but is reached less often. All three use the same stop, so the risk per share does not change.

Matched setups

Setups from the tested library that actually fired on this day, strongest evidence first.

Turtle Soup reversal Mean Raschke/Connors Turtle Soup

Buy when price sweeps a recent swing low intrabar and closes back above it, in an uptrend. Sell at a 5-day high, or after 10 bars.

Positive in 0 of 4 unseen periods. Measured on 20+ trades. This pairing did not clear the library bar on this ticker.
the low sweeps below the last confirmed swing low and closes back above it 1.0 vs 0.5
close is above SMA of close over 200 bars 485.39 vs 310.52
CCI oversold bounce Mean Lambert CCI(20) oversold

Buy when CCI(20) turns back up through -100 (oversold) with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it reaches +100.

Positive in 0 of 4 unseen periods. Measured on 20+ trades. This pairing did not clear the library bar on this ticker.
CCI of close over 20 bars crosses above -100 -96.43 vs -100.0
close is above SMA of close over 200 bars 485.39 vs 310.52
Williams %R bounce Mean Williams %R oversold

Buy when Williams %R turns up through -90 (deeply oversold) with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it reaches -30.

Positive in 0 of 4 unseen periods. Measured on 20+ trades. This pairing did not clear the library bar on this ticker.
WILLR of close over 14 bars crosses above -90 -59.14 vs -90.0
close is above SMA of close over 200 bars 485.39 vs 310.52
Hull MA cross Trend Hull moving-average turn

Buy when price crosses above the 20-day Hull moving average with price above the 200-day SMA. Sell when it crosses back below.

Positive in 0 of 4 unseen periods. Measured on 100+ trades. This pairing did not clear the library bar on this ticker.
close crosses above HMA of close over 20 bars 485.39 vs 485.05
close is above SMA of close over 200 bars 485.39 vs 310.52

Edge Check reports historical backtest alignment, for education and research. It is not investment advice, and past results never guarantee future ones.

AMD strong days, and what followed

46
strong days graded
8.7%
median move over the next 20 sessions
74%
of them finished higher

Measured on AMD alone, across 504 sessions from 2024-07-26 to 2026-07-30, on a sample of 46 strong days. This is one ticker's own past over a single stretch of market history, not a promise about future trades or about other tickers.

How the grade is built

Edge Check checks which of our pre-registered setups actually fired on the day you picked. Each one has already been through walk-forward testing on periods it never saw during tuning, plus a random-entry gauntlet that a setup has to beat to count as an edge at all. The grade then weighs that measured evidence against the market backdrop and where price sits.

Two rules keep it honest. Every indicator is computed only from data up to the evaluated date, so a historical replay cannot cheat with hindsight. And a day where nothing measured fired is capped in the Stand aside band no matter how good the chart looks, because an unmeasured trade is a guess.

More on the testing in our methodology, and the setups themselves are public in the tested library.

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Edge Check reports historical backtest alignment, for education and research. It is not investment advice, and past results never guarantee future ones.